« on: Today at 10:40:24 AM »
So Denny, now that your a hip celebrity, and spending all this time writing books, when are you going to have time to brew now?
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Sounds like Pro Brewer advice for the home brewer? If so - I'm in!
Billy Broas has a nice homebrewing blog: BillyBrew.com. He also writes for HomebrewAcademy.com. Both he and Denny are good candidates for picking brewers' brains.
Couldn't find much info via Google search... is it still in the works?
Available on Amazon for Pre-Order. Looks like January release.
Ships Dec. 16. goes on sale Jan. 1.
As was mentioned earlier, there is no way most of these nano and pico operations can last for long (no offense to anyone here that is running one of those). UNless you have a brew pub, I'm not sure how you can subsist on anything smaller than a 10 bbl system. I am filling 30 bbl tanks now and the amount of money I am making off a 30 bbl batch is not enough to make me or any of my partners rich by any means. I'm making about 1/3rd the salary I was when I left my job and working 2Xs as much. Granted, we are forced to go through a distributor which takes a nice, hefty cut and while we are permitted to have a tap room we can not sell growlers or other packages on premiss.
So in that case, I think there will be a bust eventually as many of the nanos and picos fail or simply get bored and quit. OTOH it's so easy to start a nano or pico now that I believe they will continue to pop up as other ones fail.
I'm sure there are exceptions across the nation but the picos and nanos operating locally are simply terrible. Most of these folks are people who got the idea to open a brewery before they learned how to brew or some of them obviously learned to brew and their friends and family told them how great their beer was and that they should open a brewery. What's amazing to me is, in some instances here in the south some of the latter are actually thriving because craft beer is so new here a lot of people think "that's just the way it is supposed to taste". But as people tastes evolve I think even these places will begin to fail.
FWIW I think there is money to be made in the brewery world and I think you can definitely support yourself and make a good living but it takes a lot of money and time and effort to get there and you have to be selling a lot of beer or have a very busy tap room or successful restaurant driven brew pub to get there.
I think it is more of a boom than a bubble, and booms are followed by busts. Sometimes I think some craft brewers have a lot of capacity dedicated to 6 packs that set on the shelf. The quality brewers can not make enough, and are constantly expanding, or building new breweries.
There are many that are getting into the business now that are not making good beer on a homebrew scale. I wish them good luck.
I agree. I have had beers from small start up breweries that really had no redeeming qualities at all. Insipid would be an apt description.
Those are really vague questions, but I'd say yes. Certainly someone brewing at capacity would be selling it all, and usually someone selling it all would expand to at least their current capacity.
If you look at the BA stats, 1.8% of craft breweries closed in 2011, and again in 2012. That number has been dropping for as far back as I can find the data (2007: 5.2%).
Edit: Official Poobah of No Life?! I thought it was more of an ad hoc position.
Have some malty beers for a while...
One of my friends made me some badass pho last week and all he used was a paste out of a jar. Added fresh cilantro and sprouts to resulting broth; topped with squeeze of lime, some hoisin sauce and sambal olek and it was comparable to $10 pho. The rice noodles cost pennies.
I'm going to pick up a case or two of celebration this season! And I know just where to get them. ..