« on: December 31, 2012, 09:34:35 PM »
I see the same thing happening here - I'm wondering when the slide will come. I hope never, but that seems unlikely.
I think a contraction is inevitable, but I'm not sure it will be as bad as the statistics make it seem. The number of new breweries opening in the past couple years is enormous, but it seems to me that relative to previous years, a lot of them are nanos. A lot of the dollar growth is coming from already-large breweries getting larger.
At least, for my own sake I hope so.
If you have a niche in your area, and make quality beer, you will be OK. That fits your situation, no? Hope to visit in a few years.
The ones that will fold are the mid sized ones that have poor quality, or bad financial situations. A couple of those went under in MI last year. There will be more. Then again, more are opening than closing.