If the extra expense isn't a problem, go with the two-stage controller. I have single-stage which works fine most of the year here near Cleveland, OH, but one of my fermenting fridges is in my garage and it can get too cold for fermenting (even for lagers) in the winter. I solve that problem by putting a work lamp with a 15- or 25-watt light bulb in the fridge. I ferment in stainless vessels, so light isn't an issue. The low-wattage bulb makes just enough heat to keep things warm enough for fermenting and to let the fridge cycle a bit to keep temps in range.