Sean, that data opens up some new thinking for me. I need to look at the Greg Doss experiment, and Kai's. They used pills malt, what yeast did they use? Looks like a good thesis experiment!
It makes perfect sense that yeast strain would have an impact on mash temperature fermentability. All strains can make short work of simple sugars, but I suspect that higher attenuating strains are that way in part because they are more efficient at breaking down slightly more complex sugars. As the mash temperature shifts away from favoring beta amylase and toward alpha amylase, the distribution of sugars increases. Logically, that would mean strains with higher tolerances for complex sugars would see a slower reduction in attenuation as mash temperature increases.
Definitely grist here for a thesis experiment.
I thought the same thing during a period of insomnia last night.
Some of the Belgian yeast, thinking Saison yeasts, are speculated to have come from wine yeast. Those would chew through simple sugars, as that's what grapes have. Lager yeasts can consume more maltotiose than ale yeasts, so the have some high attenuation limits compared to some ale yeast.
So yeah, the attenuation would depend on the malt's enzyme concentrations, the mash temp profile to make the most of those enzymes, and what yeast is going to be used. Lots of variables to work through, looks like a candidate for a DFSS experiment.