IMO, it just doesn't matter all that much. I've been through the whole evolution on starters...from nothing, to a simple 2 qt. starter, to stir plates and calculators aand crashing and decanting and now back to a 1 qt. "shaken, not stirred" starter 24 hours before brewing. And ya know what? My current procedure is not only easier, but I feel like it produces beer superior to using any of those other methods.
^^^^^^^THIS
I use pure O2 for the "Lazy, Not Stirred" method and I've found several advantages over my previous stir-plate method:
1) I don't have to decant any starter wort (I just pitch it all in at high krausen and adjust recipe/volume if needed to factor in that I'm adding a liter or two of pale beer at ~1.040)
2) I can do this the night before or day of brewing
3) Significantly shorter lag time
4) Better tasting starter (I like to taste everything in the process; having the starter taste better makes me more confident that I'm improving things)
As to your original question -- the dates and rates are all estimates based on way too many variables that you can't know (i.e. how the yeast was treated before you received it, including all of the shipping time, etc).
If you take the "no worries" approach you'll have a few more hours of lag time while the lower mass of yeast reproduces to take on the 1.060 wort. As long as your sanitation is good, you'll still make fine beer and in a porter likely won't notice esters at a sufficient quantity to be an issue.
If you take the "not taking any chances" approach, you can add a fresh pack, decrease your lag time, and end up in arguably the same place (with fewer esters, etc, but likely not enough to notice in this case).