I've never seen such a lack of evident enthusiasm for the conference before. I hope that is just on the various forums and sales have still been strong.
Honestly, it seems to me like the last 2 or 3 years have been less enthusiastic online than the first ones I went to. Not completely sure what's up with that.
Just heard that first day registration is up 13% from last year.
Not hard to believe. What I'm referring to is the people participating in threads about it. "Who's going to NHC?" type threads.
I remember 5-6 years ago NHC was a large chunk of the posts here starting about now through June. It has really diminished. If you took that as your only data input you would think NHC was dying off. That's why you can't get an accurate idea of what home brewers are doing or thinking just by forum input. I think we are a subset of a subset of a subset
IIRC, 5-6 years ago the conference was selling out, and the competition was hitting its entry cap. Those were topics of great debate.
Higher numbers for the conference size and a higher entry cap has made that a much lesser problem now. The entry cap is still there, but there are more first round sites and a slightly higher second round number judged. Oh, a limit of entries per individual also helped.
The conference is contracted for a certain number of attendees. Some judgement is excercised by the AHA on their estimate of that number.