Undoubtedly I am making this more difficult than it has to be!
And you have been incredibly helpful so far, so thanks a bunch.
Like you, I have a set into-the-keg batch size. I have known fermenter losses, kettle losses, boil losses and grain absorption losses. I feel that that part of my system is pretty well dialed in. Took me a bit, but I'm good there. I calculate my Strike Volume by hand and use Brewer's Friend. Both match up exactly and I usually hit my numbers.
My issue...
With a fixed Batch Size, the strike volume:grain ratio always changes based on 1) the expected ending gravity of the beer (grain weight) and 2) length of boil. Assuming a normal 60 minute boil, that loss is constant for every batch. So the strike volume really only changes (slightly) based on some grain absorption value (.1 gal/lb.). As the gravity of beer we want to brew goes up, there is significantly less strike water per pound of grain. And anecdotally, the higher the gravity of beer we want to brew, the worse our efficiency usually is. I always read people recommending to adjust your efficiency when brewing big beers..."better add more grain", they say! To me, that seems like compounding the problem. Maybe they should thin the mash.
So what *should* the strike volume:grain ratio be for best BIAB mashing? Is there an ideal ratio? Or do we just go with whatever the calculator spits out because it knows we only want to boil for an hour (or whatever we enter)?
I seem to get better efficiency with thinner mashes, but I've adjusted so many things (crush, Mash pH, brew kettle...) that I can't pin anything down for sure.
Again, I'm not sure there's a correct answer, and even if there is, it won't be the same for everyone.